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Marc Jakob

Marc Jakob

Senior Editor — Prediction Markets

Covering markets since 2018

About the author

Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.

His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.

Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.

Areas of expertise

Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi

Recent articles by Marc Jakob