About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
Polymarket Election Markets: Complete Trader's Guide 2025
1 April 2026Polymarket election markets
Prediction Market Strategies: How to Profit in 2026
28 April 2026prediction market strategies
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
How Prediction Markets Resolve: Settlement Explained
1 May 2026prediction market resolution
10 Common Prediction Market Mistakes (and How to Avoid Them)
1 May 2026prediction market mistakes
2026 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis
1 May 2026World Cup 2026 prediction odds
US Senate 2026: Prediction Market Odds by State
1 May 2026US Senate prediction market 2026
Prediction Markets for Beginners: Start Trading in 5 Minutes
1 May 2026prediction markets for beginners
Polymarket Banned Countries: Where You Can and Can't Trade
1 May 2026Polymarket banned countries
DeFi Prediction Markets: Decentralized Forecasting in 2026
1 May 2026DeFi prediction markets
How to Make Money with Prediction Markets in 2026: A Realistic Guide
1 May 2026how to make money prediction markets
PolyGram vs Polymarket: Which Platform Is Better in 2026?
1 May 2026polygram vs polymarket
Decentralized Prediction Markets: How On-Chain Forecasting Works in 2026
1 May 2026decentralized prediction market
FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds, Group Stage & More
1 May 2026FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction market
How CLOB Works in Prediction Markets: Central Limit Order Book Explained
1 May 2026CLOB prediction market
Prediction Market APIs for Developers: Access Live Market Data & Order Books
1 May 2026prediction market API
Trump 2028 Prediction Market: Why He Can't Run & What Markets Are Active
1 May 2026trump 2028 prediction market
Polygon & USDC in Prediction Markets: Fast, Cheap, and Reliable Settlement
1 May 2026polygon USDC prediction market
UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds & Quarter-Final Guide
1 May 2026champions league prediction market 2026
Federal Reserve Rate Decision Prediction Markets: Trade FOMC Outcomes in 2026
1 May 2026federal reserve prediction market
CLOB vs AMM in Prediction Markets: Which Order Matching Is Better?
1 May 2026CLOB vs AMM prediction market
Golf Major Prediction Markets 2026: Masters, US Open & The Open Champion Odds
1 May 2026golf prediction market 2026
Using Prediction Markets as Insurance: How to Hedge Real-World Risk
1 May 2026prediction market hedge insurance
AI Prediction Markets 2026: Trade GPT-5, AGI Timelines & Tech Milestones
1 May 2026AI prediction markets 2026
Prediction Market Tax Guide 2026: US, UK, Germany & Global Overview
1 May 2026prediction market tax guide 2026
Crypto Market Cap Prediction Markets 2026: Total Market & Altcoin Season Odds
2 May 2026crypto market cap prediction 2026
Formula 1 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds, Race Winners & Constructor Title
2 May 2026formula 1 prediction market 2026
10 Prediction Market Mistakes Beginners Make (And How to Avoid Them)
2 May 2026prediction market beginner mistakes
Real Estate Prediction Markets 2026: US Housing Prices & Market Crash Odds
2 May 2026real estate prediction market 2026
Augur Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Beats Decentralized Prediction Markets
2 May 2026augur alternative 2026
US Open Tennis 2026 Prediction Markets: Men's & Women's Champion Odds
2 May 2026US Open tennis prediction market 2026
NHL Stanley Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
2 May 2026NHL Stanley Cup prediction market 2026
World Series 2026 Prediction Markets: MLB Championship & Playoff Odds
2 May 2026World Series 2026 prediction market
The Prediction Market Weekly Routine: How Profitable Traders Spend 5 Hours/Week
2 May 2026prediction market weekly routine
French Open 2026 Prediction Markets: Roland Garros Champion Odds & Clay Analysis
2 May 2026French Open 2026 prediction market
Esports Prediction Markets 2026: LoL, CS2, Valorant & Major Tournament Odds
2 May 2026esports prediction market 2026
NBA MVP Prediction Markets 2026: Jokic, Tatum, SGA & Award Season Odds
2 May 2026NBA MVP prediction market 2026
XRP & Ripple Prediction Markets 2026: SEC Case, Price Targets & ODL Markets
2 May 2026XRP prediction market 2026
Premier League Prediction Markets 2026: Title Race, Relegation & Top Scorer
2 May 2026premier league prediction market 2026
NFL Draft 2026 Prediction Markets: No. 1 Pick, Team Selections & Prospect Odds
2 May 2026NFL Draft prediction market 2026
Political Prediction Market Strategy: How to Trade Elections & Policy Markets
2 May 2026political prediction market strategy
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Best Crypto Prediction Market Platform 2026: Where to Trade Bitcoin & ETH Markets
2 May 2026best crypto prediction market platform
Winter Sports Prediction Markets 2026: Skiing, Snowboarding & Ice Sports
2 May 2026winter sports prediction market 2026