Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's spot price at noon ET on 13 June 2026 will determine this market's outcome, with settlement tied to the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at that specific timestamp. The 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme confidence in a particular price range or minimal trading activity on this particular contract. Prediction markets pricing Bitcoin's price at a fixed future date typically reflect wider uncertainty than directional bets, since pinpointing an exact noon-hour close across a two-year horizon requires both directional accuracy and precise timing.

Historical Bitcoin price volatility offers limited guidance for predicting a specific intraday close eighteen months forward. Single-day price ranges of 3–5% are routine; multi-year price targets from major institutions have regularly missed by 50% or more. The current 0% reading likely reflects either a YES bracket set so narrow that traders assess it as statistically improbable, or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds. Cross-platform comparison would reveal whether other prediction markets or derivatives exchanges show materially different probabilities for Bitcoin's June 2026 price range, though such divergences typically narrow as settlement approaches.

Traders monitoring this contract should track macroeconomic calendars, Federal Reserve policy signals, and regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency adoption through mid-2026. Bitcoin's correlation with equity markets and real rates has strengthened since 2023, making US inflation data and interest-rate expectations material catalysts. Binance's operational status and any changes to its API or data reporting would also affect settlement certainty, though such disruptions remain rare for major spot pairs.

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 13? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.