Bitcoin price on May 28?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's spot price at noon ET on 28 May 2026 will be determined by the Binance BTC/USDT pair's closing price on the 1-minute candle at that specific time. The market currently shows zero implied probability for a "Yes" resolution, suggesting traders expect the contract's bracket thresholds to fall outside Bitcoin's anticipated range on that date, or that settlement mechanics may create ambiguity around which bracket captures the actual price.

Historical precedent offers limited direct comparison, as most Bitcoin price prediction markets operate with broader settlement windows or daily rather than intraday precision. However, the extreme specificity here—a single 1-minute candle at noon ET—introduces execution risk absent from markets settling on daily closes. Binance's 1-minute candle data can exhibit microstructure volatility unrelated to broader market movement, and the noon ET timestamp falls outside peak trading hours for many global participants, potentially reducing liquidity at that exact moment. Markets with such granular specifications typically see lower participation and wider probability spreads.

Catalysts through May 2026 remain uncertain at this distance, though macroeconomic policy announcements, Federal Reserve communications, and major institutional Bitcoin adoption developments will shape the underlying asset's trajectory. The zero probability reading suggests either the bracket ranges are positioned far from consensus price expectations, or traders view the intraday precision requirement as introducing sufficient settlement risk to avoid commitment. Comparing this against broader Bitcoin price markets settling on daily closes would reveal whether the divergence stems from the contract's technical structure or genuine disagreement on Bitcoin's medium-term direction.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.