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What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?

Five-platform snapshot of "What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

↓ 2,100 82% ↑ 2,200 63% ↓ 2,000 37% ↑ 2,300 24% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $247K Closes: 16 Nov 2026
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What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↓ 2,10082%
↑ 2,20063%
↓ 2,00037%
↑ 2,30024%
↓ 1,90012%
↑ 2,4008%
↓ 1,8004%
↑ 2,5003%
↑ 2,7002%
↑ 2,6002%
↑ 2,8001%
↓ 1,7001%
↓ 1,6000%
↓ 1,5000%
↓ 1,4000%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, what price will ethereum hit november 9-15? stands at 82% likelihood according to current market consensus. What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?

Methodology

This page reviews What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15? across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

Ethereum (ETH) Prediction Markets