Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-9.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-6.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Black Phoenix (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-12.5) vs Black Phoenix (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-6.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Black Phoenix face Bushido Wildcats in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter within the CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage, scheduled for 19 August 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The match forms part of a broader European regional circuit designed to identify competitive talent ahead of larger international tournaments. Settlement occurs at 20:00 UTC the same day, allowing a ten-hour window for completion.
The 100% implied probability across prediction markets reflects either exceptionally strong conviction about Black Phoenix's superiority or sparse liquidity in this particular contract. Historical precedent from CCT Europe tournaments shows that group-stage matches between established and emerging rosters frequently exhibit wide probability spreads across platforms; sportsbooks often price such fixtures more conservatively than prediction markets, particularly when one roster carries limited recent LAN exposure. Comparable fixtures in CCT Europe Series #6 saw prediction-market consensus diverge by 15–25 percentage points from traditional bookmaker lines, suggesting current odds warrant scrutiny against available roster data and recent map pools.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through the official CCT Europe announcement channels and team social media through 18 August, as last-minute substitutions or stand-in arrangements have affected group-stage matches in prior seasons. Fixture scheduling dependencies matter: if earlier matches in the group stage run significantly behind schedule, Black Phoenix versus Bushido Wildcats could face postponement, triggering the 50-50 resolution clause if rescheduling extends beyond 2 September. Recent performance metrics from both teams' domestic leagues and any announced coaching changes warrant tracking before settlement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats (B… on Best Prediction Markets
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