Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
Market context
CYBERSHOKE Prospects and benched gods are scheduled for a best-of-three in the CCT Europe Series #5 group stage, and the market’s 100% YES price implies the board expects a completed CYBERSHOKE win. That is a notably strong signal, but it sits against a mixed head-to-head picture: the teams have already met this year with benched gods winning 2-0 in CCT Europe Series 3, while another March matchup is also recorded as a benched gods/CYBERSHOKE series result on match-tracking sites[2][3].
For context, this is the kind of lower-tier Counter-Strike pairing where short-form bo3s can swing sharply on map veto and last-minute roster availability, so even apparently dominant probabilities can be fragile if the underlying match listing is unstable. One recent result page for the same CCT Europe Series 5 fixture shows benched gods finishing 2–1 over CYBERSHOKE Prospects, which would be enough to settle this contract against the current 100% YES assumption if that result is the official one[1]. In other words, the market looks fully priced, but the comparable evidence does not point to a one-sided rivalry.
The main catalysts to watch are whether the match has actually been played, whether either team fields a different lineup from previous meetings, and whether any schedule change pushes it beyond the settlement window. The tournament broadcast timing also matters because CCT matches can be delayed or reordered, and a late administrative change would affect whether the market resolves normally or to 50-50 under the rule set. In a cross-platform comparison, prediction-market pricing is far more bullish on CYBERSHOKE than the historical head-to-head record would justify, while publicly available results lean towards a more balanced contest[1][2][3].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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