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Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 100% Volume: $597K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-12.5) vs 3DMAX (+12.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-12.5) vs 3DMAX (+12.5)0%

Market context

FaZe Clan and 3DMAX are set to face off in a Best of 3 Counter-Strike 2 match at the XSE Pro League Group Stage, scheduled to begin at 7:00 AM ET on 4 July 2026. The prediction market currently implies a 100% probability that FaZe will win, yet this stark certainty diverges sharply from other data points. Strafe users, for instance, split their votes with 66.7% favouring FaZe and 33.3% backing 3DMAX[2], while a recent Swiss Round encounter saw 3DMAX defeat FaZe 2-0 with FaZe holding a 0-2 record in the stage[1]. Such historical precedents, where a 0-2 team faces a 1-1 opponent, often temper absolute confidence, suggesting the 100% line may reflect a liquidity imbalance rather than genuine analyst consensus.

Traders should monitor official XSE Pro League announcements for any schedule shifts or roster dependencies before the match commences, as even minor delays could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if unresolved beyond seven days. The match is a BO3 series, meaning 3DMAX’s recent 2-0 victory over FaZe in the Swiss stage remains a critical catalyst for potential market divergence[1]. With FaZe ranked 21 globally and 3DMAX holding a 1-1 record, the disparity between the prediction-market implied probability and the 66.7% Strafe vote share highlights a meaningful odds-comparison opportunity[2][3]. No further news has emerged regarding forfeits or disqualifications, leaving the on-field performance as the sole determinant for settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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