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Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5) 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $244K Liquidity: $372K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-6.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-6.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: FaZe UN (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Upper Bracket quarterfinal 2 of the United21 Season 52 Playoffs pits FaZe Up Next against Alpha Dominion Nation in a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 series, scheduled for 6:30 AM ET on 13 July. FaZe Up Next entered the playoffs after a dominant Group Stage run, including a 2–0 sweep of Vasteras, while Alpha Dominion Nation fought through a Group C decider against Vitality Academy to secure their spot.

Historical data from United21 academies suggests that teams entering with a 1–0 Group Stage record and a clean sweep in their preceding qualifier often carry a significant momentum advantage, yet the 0% crowd-implied probability for FaZe Up Next represents an extreme outlier. In comparable lower-bracket academy clashes, such a total market consensus against one side typically signals either a confirmed roster absence or a severe mismatch in recent form, rather than a genuine statistical certainty, as no major sportsbooks currently offer a line matching this zero-probability stance.

Traders should monitor official team announcements on X for any roster changes or match postponements before the settlement window closes, as a cancellation triggers a 50–50 resolution. Recent coverage confirms Alpha Dominion Nation’s path through the Group C decider, but no news has yet surfaced regarding FaZe Up Next’s readiness for the 6:30 AM ET start, making pre-match social media updates the primary catalyst for any probability divergence between prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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