Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 100% GamerLegion | 0% Acend |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs Acend (+3.5) | 100% GamerLegion | 0% Acend |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% GamerLegion | 100% Acend |
| Match Winner | 0% GamerLegion | 100% Acend |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
GamerLegion faced Acend in the Upper bracket quarterfinal of the Super DraculaN Group A, a Counter-Strike 2 match initially set for 2:15 PM ET on 23 June. The contest concluded with Acend winning 2-1, overturning the pre-match consensus that heavily favoured GamerLegion.
Historical precedents in CS2 show that 100% crowd-implied probabilities often collapse when a lower-ranked team secures a decisive map victory early, as happened here when Acend’s ranked #59 squad outperformed the #13 GamerLegion side. Comparable cases from the 2025 DraculaN Season reveal that 94%+ analyst votes for a team do not guarantee a win if the opponent’s recent form includes two wins in their last five matches, a metric Acend satisfied while GamerLegion managed only one.
Traders should monitor post-match roster announcements and the official DraculaN 2026 schedule for any cancellations or delays that could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms that user consensus overwhelmingly backed GamerLegion, yet the final result diverged sharply, highlighting the risk of relying solely on crowd sentiment when team rankings and recent win rates suggest a more volatile outcome [2]. The match’s completion status remains critical, as any unresolved delay beyond seven days would reset the market to an even split.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super D… on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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