Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final between Infinite Gaming and Betclic Apogee Esports in the Super DraculaN Group B, scheduled for 25 June at 18:20 UTC. This match has already concluded with Infinite winning 2–0, rendering the prediction market’s current 0% implied probability for Infinite a factual misalignment with the settled result[2][4]. In historical cases where a match finishes before the settlement window closes, prediction markets often lag in updating odds, creating a divergence between live results and contract pricing until manual resolution occurs. Such delays are common in esports when automated feeds fail to trigger immediate market updates, leaving traders exposed to stale data despite clear outcomes.

Traders should monitor official resolution announcements from the platform hosting the Super DraculaN tournament, as the settlement window ends 26 June at 00:20 UTC[1]. A key catalyst is the confirmation of the match result on Liquipedia or BLAST.tv, which typically validates the outcome for market resolution[3][6]. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the 2–0 scoreline and lists Infinite’s world ranking at 108 versus Apogee’s at 86, highlighting the competitive gap that likely drove the result[2]. No further schedule dependencies exist, as the match is complete; the focus now shifts to administrative confirmation rather than live play developments.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.