Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the lower-bracket semifinal in the Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 Playoffs, where roamsfiest defeated Johnny Speeds 2–1 on 27 June 2026 at 10:04 UTC. The match, originally scheduled for 06:00 EDT, concluded with roamsfiest winning all three maps decisively, with map scores of 13–8, 11–13, and 16–14 [2][3].

Historical precedent in Swedish CS2 lower-bracket play shows that 0% crowd-implied probability for a named player often reflects a completed match where the outcome is already known, not a pre-match uncertainty. In past Svenska CS-Ligan playoffs, when a match finishes before settlement windows close, prediction markets resolve to the actual winner, rendering “YES” contracts for the defeated side worthless [1][3]. This mirrors cases in other double-elimination tournaments where post-match resolution eliminates speculative value entirely.

Traders should monitor official Liquipedia updates and Strafe match archives for confirmation of final scores and bracket progression, as these sources now confirm roamsfiest’s victory [1][2]. No further catalysts exist—the match is complete, and the settlement window will close on 27 June 2026 at 16:00 UTC with roamsfiest as the resolved winner [3]. Any divergence between sportsbook lines (which may still show Johnny Speeds at 94.5% pre-match) and the 0% prediction-market probability stems from timing: sportsbooks reflect pre-match sentiment, while prediction markets reflect post-match reality [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.