🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 90% Match Winner 79% Volume: $328K Liquidity: $232K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Match Winner79%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)69%
Map 2 Winner60%
Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)59%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.548%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)1%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Luminosity and NIP in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosi…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro Le… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets.

See all markets →