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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 65% Match Winner 59% Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $150K Liquidity: $35K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner65%
Match Winner59%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 65% YES probability for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MIBR and 100 Thieves in the Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pu… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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