Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
25% | 75% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
25% | 75% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs Monte (+6.5) | 25% Legacy | 76% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) | 50% Monte | 50% Legacy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5) | 50% Legacy | 50% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Match Winner | 56% Monte | 45% Legacy |
Market context
Monte and Legacy face off in a best-of-one elimination match during Stage 2 of the IEM Cologne Major, one of Counter-Strike's premier tournaments. The fixture is scheduled for 7 June at 08:30 ET, with settlement contingent on a decisive result by 18:30 UTC the same day. Both teams enter from earlier qualification rounds, though their recent form and roster stability will heavily influence the outcome in a single-map format where preparation depth and map pool alignment become decisive factors.
Historical precedent from IEM Cologne majors shows that bo1 matches at this stage favour teams with consistent recent LAN attendance and stable five-player rosters. Teams rotating players or returning from extended breaks have underperformed at roughly 60–65% worse rates than their online ratings suggest. Legacy's tournament history and Monte's regional circuit performance will determine whether either carries momentum into this fixture. Recent roster changes or injury absences—particularly among in-game leaders or primary AWPers—have shifted bo1 outcomes by 8–12 percentage points in comparable stage-two matchups.
Traders should monitor official IEM communications for any schedule adjustments, as venue or broadcast delays have occasionally pushed matches beyond the seven-day window. Roster confirmations and final map-pool announcements typically arrive 24–48 hours before play. Sportsbook lines, where available, often diverge from prediction-market consensus on bo1 matches due to differing sample sizes and regional betting patterns. Current absence of live pricing suggests limited early-market activity; sharp action typically concentrates within 12 hours of match start.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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