Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 lower bracket final between Sashi Esport and Inner Circle Esports in Group A of the Super DraculaN tournament, which concluded on 25 June with Inner Circle securing a 2–1 victory. Despite the match already being played and resolved, the prediction market currently shows a 0% implied probability for Sashi Esport winning, a stark divergence from the settled result where Inner Circle Esports (formerly IC Esports) emerged as the clear victor. This 0% line reflects the market’s alignment with the actual outcome rather than any lingering uncertainty, contrasting with historical cases where unplayed matches or delayed settlements created inflated odds; here, the result is definitive, and the probability correctly mirrors the settled 2–1 scoreline.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements confirming the final bracket placement and any potential schedule adjustments for subsequent rounds, as these dependencies determine future match-ups. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the 2–1 result and lists Inner Circle Esports as the winner with a world ranking of 60, while Sashi Esport holds ranking 65, underscoring the competitive gap that influenced the outcome[1]. No new catalysts are expected to alter this settled result, and the market’s 0% probability for Sashi remains consistent with the established facts, offering no divergence between sportsbook lines, prediction-market implied probability, or analyst consensus on this contract.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.