Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO and The Huns Esports are set to clash in the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs semifinals, a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match originally scheduled for 10:00PM ET on 10 July. The crowd-implied probability of 0% for The Huns winning suggests the market views a Mongolian victory as virtually impossible, a stance that aligns with their recent head-to-head record where TYLOO secured a decisive 2-0 win at the CS Asia Championships 2026 Asia qualifiers in March [1][10].
Historical data frames this extreme probability as rational rather than anomalous; TYLOO has consistently dominated The Huns in online Asian settings, including a 2-0 victory in the GGMEDIA Challenger Series and a clean sweep in the ESL Challenger League [5][7]. In prediction markets, such a 0% line typically only appears when a team has lost every recent encounter against the same opponent, mirroring cases where one-sided form guides settlement before the match begins, effectively removing any speculative value for backing the underdog.
Traders should monitor the official BLAST schedule for any delay notifications, as the settlement window closes on 11 July 2026, and a delay beyond seven days without a winner triggers a 50-50 resolution [1]. While TYLOO’s recent 2-0 win against paiN Gaming at the CS Asia Championships reinforces their upper-bracket momentum, the primary catalyst remains the match’s actual commencement, as any cancellation would instantly invalidate the current odds structure and reset the contract to an even split [6].
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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