Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VP (-2.5) vs WW Team (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-2.5) vs Virtus.pro (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs WW Team (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Virtus.pro and WW Team are due to meet in a best-of-five grand final at the CIS LAN Championship playoffs, but the live market is already pricing **WW Team at 0% YES**, which is far below the historical signal from their recent head-to-heads. Virtus.pro beat WW Team 2-1 in group play at this same event on 27 July, but WW Team later turned that around in the final and won the title 3-2, so the pair have already split their most recent LAN series in a tight, map-heavy pattern.[2][3][6] That kind of volatility matters for cross-platform pricing: a team can look favoured on sportsbook-style match odds after an earlier win, while a prediction market can still assign little or no chance if the event is already resolved, delayed, or not being traded actively. The closest comparable public voting line in the results was Strafe’s user sentiment, which leaned clearly towards Virtus.pro at 77.8% before the group-stage match, showing how external opinion can diverge sharply from an all-or-nothing contract.[4]
For traders, the key catalyst is whether the grand final was actually completed before the settlement window closed, because the rules say an unplayed match, tie, or delay beyond seven days resolves to 50-50. The posted schedule shows the match as not yet started at 17:00 local time, and later reporting says CIS LAN Championship 6 ran from 27 to 30 July in Moscow, which makes timing and completion the decisive variables for this contract rather than team strength alone.[1][2][14] If the final finished normally, Virtus.pro’s earlier group-stage edge and recent public sentiment would be the main comparison point; if it did not, the market outcome is driven by the event rules, not by any in-game edge.[1][3][4]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LA… on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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