Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Aurora and Team Yandex meet in the upper bracket quarterfinals of the BLAST Slam Dota 2 playoffs on 4 June, with the winner advancing directly to the semi-finals. The match is scheduled for 5:00 AM ET and will be contested in a best-of-three format. The 5% implied probability assigned to Aurora reflects a substantial favouring of Team Yandex, suggesting the market views this as a heavily one-sided fixture.

Team Yandex has established itself as a consistently stronger regional performer in recent Dota 2 competition, whilst Aurora's track record against top-tier opposition remains comparatively weaker. Historical matchups between these rosters, where available, would typically show Yandex winning at rates well above 50%, which aligns with the current market pricing. The 5% probability for Aurora implies roughly 19:1 odds against them, a threshold typically reserved for significant skill gaps or form disparities rather than genuine uncertainty.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as Dota 2 team compositions can shift ahead of major tournaments. The early morning ET scheduling may also affect viewership and broadcast reliability; delays or technical issues could trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause if the match extends beyond 7 days without completion. Any public statements from either team regarding preparation or confidence levels, typically shared via social media or esports news outlets, may signal unexpected form changes that could justify movement away from the current extreme pricing.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.