Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

FTS have already beaten PuckChamp in this Asgard Championship Playoffs series, so the market’s 100% YES price now reflects a completed result rather than a live contest. Sofascore and Cyber.Sports both record the match as finished 2-0 for FTS, with the game starting at 13:00 UTC on 8 August; that lines up with the market’s settlement logic, which resolves to FTS if they win the match outright.[1][5]

The probability should be read against the recent form and the pre-match cross-platform split, not as evidence of uncertainty about the finished outcome. Before the series, PuckChamp were the narrow statistical lean on some comparison sites: Strafe showed 61.5% of users backing PuckChamp, while Polymarket’s Dota 2 board listed FTS at 32% and PuckChamp at 69%; by contrast, DLTV’s live page had FTS on roughly 60% win rate and Dota2Predict showed a 61% edge for PuckChamp, illustrating that analyst-style models and crowd sentiment were not fully aligned.[4][6][11][15]

For traders, the only meaningful catalysts at this stage are confirmation that the result is official and that no administrative issue changes settlement. The event is listed as a completed lower-bracket round-one BO3, and both Esports.ru and Esport Agenda place the tie on the 8 August playoff schedule, which reduces the chance of a delay or cancellation materially affecting the contract unless a platform later records a forfeit or an appeal. FTS also entered the day off a 1-2 loss to Level UP, while PuckChamp had recently lost 1-2 to Team Lynx and beaten RE.Arise 2-1, so pre-match form pointed to volatility even though the final score is now settled.[9][14][16][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.