Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 84% Power Rangers | 17% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% Over | 10% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 90% Power Rangers | 10% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
Power Rangers face TEAM VISION in the upper bracket quarterfinal of The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match scheduled for 1:00 PM ET on 24 June. While the prediction market currently implies a 51% chance for Power Rangers to win, this figure diverges sharply from cross-platform odds. Major sportsbooks like Sportsbet list Vision at 1.03 against Power Rangers at 11.50, and Kalshi’s game market assigns Vision a 94% probability of victory[1][3]. This massive discrepancy suggests the 51% prediction price may be an outlier or a liquidity gap rather than a consensus view, as analyst aggregates and betting lines overwhelmingly favour Vision.
Historically, such wide divergences between prediction markets and established sportsbooks in regional qualifiers often resolve quickly once liquidity normalises, with the betting line acting as the anchor. Comparable cases in lower-tier Dota 2 events show that when a team holds a 1.03 odds advantage, the implied win probability rarely drops below 90% unless a critical roster issue emerges. Traders should monitor official team announcements for last-minute roster changes or schedule delays, as these are the primary catalysts that could shift the probability. Recent tournament updates confirm the match is proceeding as planned, with no reported disruptions to the 24 June schedule[7][9].
The settlement window closes on 24 June at 23:10 UTC, meaning any delay beyond seven days without a winner triggers a 50-50 resolution. Given Vision’s overwhelming statistical dominance and the sportsbook consensus, the market’s current pricing appears misaligned with the real-world probability. Investors should watch for volume spikes on Vision contracts, which typically signal the market correcting to reflect the 94% chance indicated by Kalshi and the 1.03 odds from Sportsbet[2][3]. No moralising on trade execution is necessary; the facts indicate a clear mispricing favouring the underdog in the prediction market versus the overwhelming evidence for Vision.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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