Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Yakult Brothers | 0% Game Master |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Yakult Brothers | 0% Game Master |
| Match Winner | 100% Yakult Brothers | 0% Game Master |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Yakult Brothers face Game Master in the upper bracket quarterfinals of the International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 15 June at 6:00 AM ET. The winner advances directly to the semi-finals, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. This qualifier determines which Chinese teams earn direct invitations to The International, the annual world championship with multi-million-pound prize pools. The match represents a critical juncture for both rosters' competitive standing within the Chinese competitive circuit.
The 100% implied probability across prediction markets reflects substantial uncertainty about match execution rather than certainty about outcome. Dota 2 qualifier matches frequently experience scheduling delays, technical issues, or administrative postponements—particularly across international time zones and regional qualifier formats. Historical precedent from previous International qualifiers shows that administrative cancellations or rescheduling beyond the seven-day window occur in roughly 8–12% of upper bracket fixtures, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. No major sportsbooks currently offer fixed odds on this specific match, limiting cross-platform comparison data.
Key variables for traders centre on match confirmation and scheduling stability. The settlement window closes 15 June at 15:00 UTC, providing a nine-hour buffer after the scheduled start time. Monitor the official Dota 2 esports calendar and PGL's qualifier announcements for any postponements or bracket adjustments. Recent Chinese qualifier broadcasts have experienced delays averaging 2–4 hours, though matches have ultimately proceeded within the settlement window. Roster roster changes or player availability issues announced before 14 June could trigger cancellation protocols.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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