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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Ends in Daytime 91% Volume: $423K Liquidity: $815K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity face Level UP in a best-of-three at the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, with the match scheduled for 22 July and the market still showing **0%** crowd-implied YES. That is notably at odds with the wider price picture: bookmaker lines in the available market feed imply a modest Level UP edge, while prediction and community signals are mixed rather than unanimous. One bookmaker listing prices Zero Tenacity at 2.52 versus 1.49 for Level UP, which is roughly consistent with Level UP being the shorter-priced side[1]. By contrast, bo3.gg shows a tighter contest, with Zero Tenacity priced at 1.92 to win and a separate map handicap line suggesting the match could go deep[2]. Strafe’s user vote also leans Level UP, but only by a narrow margin, 56.1% to 43.9%[3].

For traders, the main catalyst is whether the fixture is confirmed and played on schedule, because this contract would settle 50-50 if the match is not completed, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. Live match pages indicate the event is tied to the EPL Masters Play-In Group B slate, so any bracket reshuffle, stream delay, or rescheduling update could matter more than pre-match opinion. The current consensus is therefore fragmented: sportsbooks lean Level UP, user sentiment is only slightly in that direction, and the prediction market price is effectively detached at zero, which usually signals either thin participation or a stale contract rather than a strong informed view[1][2][3][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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