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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% O/U 3.5 Games 67% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $546K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)59%
First Blood in Game 4?54%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
First Blood in Game 3?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Game 4 Winner40%
First Blood in Game 1?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
Game 2 Winner35%
Game 3 Winner35%
Game 1 Winner34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor31%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: anyone's legend vs bilibili gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. T…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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