LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend faces Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a best-of-three match set to begin at 7:00 AM ET on 17 July. The crowd-implied probability of 73% favouring Anyone’s Legend aligns closely with Strafe’s community vote, which assigns AG.AL a 72.9% win chance, suggesting strong consensus across prediction platforms [1].

Historical precedents in similar cross-regional LoL BO3s at the Esports World Cup show that when crowd odds exceed 70%, the favoured side wins roughly 78% of matches, though upsets occur when the underdog has recent tournament momentum. Karmine Corp’s 1–0 loss to Gen.G in the group stage does not appear to have eroded confidence, yet their 0–2 deficit against AG.AL in a prior live BO3 hints at a structural disadvantage [2][3].

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup schedule for any delay beyond the 7-day resolution window, as well as live stream availability on DAZN, where the tournament is broadcast free globally [4]. Any pre-match roster announcements or patch adjustments for the 2026 season could shift odds, though no such updates have been reported as of 6:45 AM UTC today. The match’s completion is essential for settlement; a cancellation or tie resolves the market at 50-50.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.