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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 80% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Volume: $305K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?52%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
First Blood in Game 1?31%
First Blood in Game 2?30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Bilibili Gaming and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:30AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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