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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% O/U 3.5 Games 75% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 61% Volume: $352K Liquidity: $451K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
O/U 3.5 Games75%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Game 3 Winner49%
Game 4 Winner49%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor46%
Match Winner45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Any Player Quadra Kill41%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors41%
Any Player Quadra Kill41%
Any Player Penta Kill40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?40%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?31%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors11%
Any Player Penta Kill8%
Any Player Penta Kill6%

Market context

The LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 81% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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