LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

Market context

HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX are due to meet in an LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group best-of-three, with the market sitting at 47% for HANJIN BRION and, by implication, a narrow lean towards BNK FEARX. That is close to a coin flip, and it sits between the sharper sportsbook-style prices shown by exchange and comparison pages, which generally make BNK FEARX a modest favourite, and the prediction-market line, which is less decisive.

The cleanest historical reference is the previous meeting on 7 August, when HANJIN BRION beat BNK FEARX 2-0, a result that some market pages have already treated as the main recent form signal. Pre-match prices on comparison sites around this fixture have tended to range from roughly 1.57 to 2.20 for the two sides, with several feeds clustering around BNK FEARX at about 1.57-1.68 and HANJIN BRION around 2.04-2.10, suggesting a market view stronger than the 47% contract price but not overwhelmingly so.

Traders should watch the official start-time confirmation and any schedule movement, because the contract resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, and a postponement only stays live if rescheduled within the permitted window. Any late roster news, side-selection notes, or bracket implications in the Rise Group could also move the line quickly, especially given how little separates the teams in the current pricing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.