LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

CTBC Flying Oyster meet Deep Cross Gaming in a best-of-three LCP Swiss Stage opener, and the pricing picture is sharply split between platforms: Polymarket shows the contract at a **100% YES** crowd-implied probability, while BO3.gg lists CFO as the bookmaker favourite at roughly **1.454** decimal odds versus **1.727** for Deep Cross Gaming, and STADIO’s model goes the other way with **DCG 61%** and a projected 2-1 scoreline.[1][2][4] That gap matters because a 100% prediction-market price is usually more a sign of thin liquidity or one-sided positioning than a genuine guarantee, whereas sportsbook lines still imply meaningful upset risk in a BO3 format.[1][2]

Recent comparable results also show why traders should not treat the favourite as immune to volatility. Deep Cross Gaming beat CTBC Flying Oyster **2-1** in an LCP best-of-three on 18 April 2026, a reminder that these teams have already produced a competitive series rather than a clean hierarchy.[3] Polymarket’s own description frames CFO as the stronger historical side and recent playoff regular, which supports their favourite status, but the earlier head-to-head result and STADIO’s contrarian view suggest the market is not unanimous beneath the headline price.[1][3][4]

The main catalysts now are operational rather than structural: confirmed starting line-ups, any schedule slip, and whether the match is actually played within the settlement window, since an abandonment, tie or delay beyond seven days would force a **50-50** resolution under the contract terms.[1] With the market set to resolve from a scheduled LCP Swiss Stage match on 26 July, traders will usually watch for official broadcast or league updates close to the start time, especially because esports fixtures can move on short notice if there are server, competitive or administrative issues.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.