Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
86% | 14% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
86% | 14% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 86% |
| Game 1 Winner | 79% |
| Game 2 Winner | 79% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) | 35% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 32% |
Market context
Deep Cross Gaming face DetonatioN FocusMe in a best-of-three LCP Group Stage match, with the contract set to resolve on the winner unless the series is not played or is derailed into a no-contest outcome. The market’s 81% YES implied probability is notably stronger than a simple coin-flip, and it sits alongside a wider spread in the public view: Strafe user voting is effectively unanimous for DetonatioN FocusMe, while older comparison pages have shown tight pre-match pricing in the low-1.8s on both sides rather than a heavy one-sided line[5][4].
The historical frame is mixed but useful: the teams met several times earlier in 2026, with Deep Cross Gaming taking the head-to-head edge in at least some recorded meetings, including a 2-0 and 2-1 pattern across match pages, while other listings show DetonatioN FocusMe dropping recent series to them[4][3][11]. That matters because this contract is already pricing a clear favourite, yet the underlying match history does not point to a totally one-way rivalry. In other words, the market is leaning more decisively than the head-to-head record alone would justify, which leaves room for volatility if line-ups or form news shifts late.
The main catalysts to watch are whether the LCP schedule holds and whether either team posts roster or start-time changes before the series window, because any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 settlement. Recent LCP coverage shows both teams were active in the split only days earlier, including Deep Cross Gaming’s loss to CTBC Flying Oyster and DetonatioN FocusMe’s defeat to GAM Esports, which gives traders a fresh form reference point but also confirms both sides were on the same competitive timetable[15][18].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) -… on Best Prediction Markets
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