Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Dplus KIA Challengers | 100% T1 Academy |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Dplus KIA Challengers | 0% T1 Academy |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% Dplus KIA Challengers | 0% T1 Academy |
| Game 4 Winner | 48% Dplus KIA Challengers | 53% T1 Academy |
| Match Winner | 70% Dplus KIA Challengers | 31% T1 Academy |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Dplus KIA Challengers and T1 Academy meet in the Asia Masters playoffs grand final, a best-of-five that was listed to start on 21 June at 09:00 UTC, with live-match listings still carrying the fixture rather than a completed result. Sofascore and GosuGamers both show the same pairing and format, while the market’s current 0% YES pricing implies either the contract has already been deemed unreachable on the listed route or the crowd is effectively assigning no chance to a straight Dplus KIA Challengers win. [4][1]
That pricing sits at the extreme end of the range when set against recent comparable signals. GosuGamers’ June match page shows Dplus KIA Challengers were involved in a 3-2 playoff series against T1 Esports Academy earlier in the tournament, which is the kind of close result that typically argues against a true zero-probability view for a rematch. Leaguepedia also frames Asia Masters as a Tencent/TJ-run regional event, meaning roster eligibility, bracket progression and schedule confirmations can still matter materially to settlement risk if the final is moved, delayed, or altered. [1][5]
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the match actually begins on schedule, whether the final is confirmed as a BO5 grand final rather than a placeholder listing, and whether either side is reported with substitution or travel issues before the first map. A market at 0% can re-rate quickly if a reliable slate source updates the start time or if pre-match odds from books imply a competitive series, whereas any cancellation or delay beyond seven days would push the contract towards the 50-50 resolution described in the rules. [4][1]
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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