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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% Volume: $1.9M Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)0%

Market context

DN SOOPers Challengers face Nongshim Esports Academy in a best-of-three fixture within the LCK Challengers League's Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group bracket, scheduled for 18 August 2026 at 04:00 ET. The match determines positioning within South Korea's secondary professional League of Legends circuit, where academy rosters and challenger organisations compete for promotion pathways and circuit points.

The current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES reflects near-certainty that the match will occur as scheduled rather than confidence in either team's victory. Historical precedent in LCK Challengers League fixtures shows cancellations remain rare; most postponements occur due to player illness or technical infrastructure failures rather than organisational withdrawal. The 50-50 resolution clause for cancellations or ties carries minimal weight given the format's standard best-of-three structure, which structurally precludes draws. Comparable academy-level League of Legends tournaments across regional circuits demonstrate fixture completion rates exceeding 95% when scheduled within standard seasonal windows.

Traders monitoring this contract should track official LCK Challengers League announcements regarding roster availability, particularly any last-minute substitutions or health protocols affecting either organisation. Nongshim's broader esports operations and DN SOOPers' recent competitive performance in earlier rounds provide context for match-day conditions, though such information typically surfaces within 48 hours of fixture time. The settlement window closing at 14:00 UTC on 18 August creates a tight margin for post-match resolution; any technical delays in official result confirmation could affect settlement timing rather than outcome probability.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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