Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) | 0% LOUD | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% LOUD | 0% LOS |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% LOUD | 0% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% LOUD | 100% LOS |
| Match Winner | 0% LOUD | 100% LOS |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
LOUD and LOS will compete in a League of Legends lower bracket semifinal within the Esports World Cup South America and LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 11 June at 22:15 UTC. The winner advances toward qualification for the broader Esports World Cup tournament; the loser is eliminated from this regional pathway. The match is scheduled as a best-of-three series, meaning the first team to win two games progresses.
The 0% implied probability on this contract reflects either a data-feed lag or an absence of trading activity rather than genuine market consensus that LOUD cannot win. Comparable lower-bracket League of Legends matches in regional qualifiers typically see implied probabilities ranging from 25% to 75% depending on team seeding, recent form, and roster stability. LOUD's historical performance in LATAM competition and their position within the bracket structure should anchor rational pricing well above zero; the current reading warrants scrutiny against live sportsbook odds and recent match results from both teams' qualifying runs.
Key catalysts include roster confirmation closer to match day—any last-minute substitutions or player unavailability would shift win probability materially—and the outcomes of preceding matches that determine bracket positioning and momentum. The settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled start, creating a narrow window for delayed matches to resolve as 50-50 splits. Traders should monitor official LEC or regional league announcements for schedule changes, technical issues affecting prior matches, or team-related disruptions that could affect LOUD or LOS's preparation and availability.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame… on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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