Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 49% LOS | 51% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 49% LOS | 51% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% LOS | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| Match Winner | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
Market context
LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars will contest the Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 8 June at 3:15PM ET. The winner advances directly to the finals bracket; the loser drops to the lower bracket. This best-of-three encounter determines which team maintains an undefeated run through the upper bracket and secures the more favourable seeding for subsequent rounds.
The 0% implied probability on this contract reflects an absence of trading activity rather than genuine consensus that LOS cannot win. Cross-platform comparison reveals limited sportsbook coverage for South American League of Legends qualifiers at this tier, with most major operators offering no odds on regional matches. Prediction markets covering similar LATAM LoL fixtures typically show 45–55% ranges for evenly matched teams, suggesting the current reading is a liquidity artefact rather than a substantive market signal. Historical precedent indicates that upper bracket semifinals in regional qualifiers often feature competitive matchups between teams with comparable recent form.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and scrim results in the week preceding 8 June, as last-minute substitutions or player availability issues have disrupted LATAM qualifier schedules previously. The settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled start, meaning any postponement beyond 15 June triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent fixture delays in South American esports have been infrequent but not unprecedented; checking official Esports World Cup communications and team social channels for schedule updates is essential. Team performance data from the group stage and any prior head-to-head records will provide baseline context for assessing the underlying match likelihood once trading activity begins.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Best Prediction Markets →