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LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 98% Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) 90% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $344K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner98%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)90%
Game 2 Winner88%
Odd/Even Total Kills73%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?49%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Odd/Even Total Kills44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
First Blood in Game 1?43%
Any Player Penta Kill28%
O/U 2.5 Games11%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

The LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the m…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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