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LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 3.5 Games 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 52% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? 52% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 51% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $966K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)46%
Game 4 Winner45%
Game 1 Winner43%
Game 2 Winner43%
Game 3 Winner43%
Match Winner38%
O/U 4.5 Games32%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)23%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: mvk esports vs furia esports (bo5) - worlds play-in stands at 71% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and FURIA Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Pla… on Best Prediction Markets

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