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LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 69% O/U 2.5 Games 69% Match Winner 68% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 59% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $28K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner69%
O/U 2.5 Games69%
Match Winner68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Game Handicap: MYTH (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5)30%
Game 1 Winner28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Myth Esports meet Dynasty in a best-of-three Road Of Legends regular-season match, and the main market is pricing Myth as the outsider at 39% implied probability. That is noticeably below the crowd view on Bitget, where Myth is trading around 68% versus 33% for Dynasty, while Strafe’s community pick is unanimous for Myth and Bo3’s match page presents the contest as a routine scoreline prediction rather than a close-call fixture[1][2][3].

For context, markets on small regional League of Legends series can move sharply when one platform has fresher lineup information or a more engaged voter base than another. Here, the divergence is the point: the prediction market implies a much tighter match than the broad community sentiment shown on Strafe and Bitget, which suggests traders are either discounting roster certainty, map-level volatility in a BO3, or the possibility that public votes are overconfident[1][3]. In comparable lower-tier esports spots, late team confirmations and substitution news often matter more than historical brand names because the sample size is thin and line-ups can change late.

What traders should watch is whether either team posts a formal roster, forfeit, or scheduling update before the scheduled start, since the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The contract also has a special edge case if the series starts but is unfinished and a team is awarded the win on forfeit, so any pre-match announcement from the organiser or a change on the match page can be material. The current disparity between the 39% market price and the stronger cross-platform support for Myth means even a small operational update could be enough to re-rate the contract quickly[1][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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