LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

RED Canids and FURIA Esports meet in the League of Legends upper bracket final of the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs on 24 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-five format favours consistency and map pool depth, making this a significant test of both organisations' preparation and in-game execution across the Brazilian regional circuit.

The 7% implied probability for RED Canids reflects a substantial perceived gap between the two rosters. FURIA has established itself as the stronger regular-season performer in recent CBLOL splits, with more consistent international representation and higher-ranked player talent. Historical upper bracket finals in the CBLOL have occasionally produced upsets when the lower-seeded team possessed superior macro play or a favourable mid-lane matchup, but RED Canids would need to exploit specific weaknesses in FURIA's draft or execution to overcome the odds. Comparable regional finals across other leagues suggest that 7% probability typically corresponds to a team needing near-perfect play and opponent underperformance.

Traders should monitor roster announcements or last-minute substitutions in the week before the match, as both teams may rotate players for playoffs. The settlement window closes at 22:00 ET on match day, allowing only the scheduled broadcast window for resolution. Fixture delays beyond seven days without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth pricing given occasional CBLOL scheduling disruptions. Current sportsbook lines, where available, should be cross-referenced against this 7% market probability to identify any meaningful divergence in how professional bookmakers and prediction markets are valuing RED Canids' chances.

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.