Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
5% | 95% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
5% | 95% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 3? | 5% RED Canids | 95% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
Market context
RED Canids and LOS will contest the grand final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs in League of Legends on 14 June 2026, with the winner securing qualification to the broader Esports World Cup tournament. The best-of-five match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, with settlement contingent on completion within seven days of that date.
The 50–50 implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty in a regional final between two established South American organisations. RED Canids have historically been a consistent presence in Brazilian League of Legends competition, whilst LOS represents the broader LATAM region's competitive depth. Prior EWC qualifier outcomes show that regional finals in LoL often produce tighter matchups than regular-season play, particularly when both teams have navigated similar playoff brackets. The absence of recent head-to-head records or significant roster changes announced publicly means traders are pricing this largely on organisational pedigree and regional standing rather than form-specific data.
Key variables include roster confirmation and any last-minute substitutions announced before 12:00 PM ET on 14 June. Patch notes released in the weeks preceding the match will shape champion pools and meta priorities for both teams. Schedule adherence matters substantially given the settlement clause: any delay beyond 7 June without a decisive result triggers a 50–50 resolution. Monitor official Esports World Cup communications and regional League of Legends league announcements for fixture changes, which have occasionally affected qualifier timelines in prior seasons.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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