LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Liquid and Cloud9 are set to contest the League of Legends Championship Series lower bracket final on 13 June 2024, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The best-of-five match was scheduled for 4:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 2 June 2026. The 100% implied probability across prediction markets reflects the match's scheduled status and the absence of reported cancellation or postponement notices as of the settlement window's opening.

Lower bracket finals in LCS playoffs have historically proceeded as scheduled in recent seasons, with forfeiture or non-completion occurring in fewer than 2% of instances since 2021. Both organisations maintain active rosters and have competed in preceding playoff rounds without incident. Cloud9 and Team Liquid have met multiple times in LCS playoffs, with recent matchups showing competitive parity—neither team has demonstrated overwhelming dominance that would justify extreme probability skew in either direction. The current 100% probability reflects certainty of match occurrence rather than predictive confidence in either team's victory.

Traders should monitor official LCS scheduling announcements and team roster confirmations through the week preceding 13 June. Potential catalysts include player illness, technical infrastructure failures at the broadcast venue, or organisational announcements affecting participation. The settlement window extends to 14 June at 02:10 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled match time. Any delay exceeding seven days from the original date would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, making schedule adherence the primary variable for market settlement rather than competitive outcome.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.