LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Secret and Karmine Corp face off in the League of Legends Lower Bracket semifinal at the Esports World Cup Group B, a match initially set for 9:40AM ET on 15 July. The contest determines progression in the tournament’s knockout phase, with Karmine Corp heavily favoured given the market’s 0% implied probability for a Team Secret victory.

Historically, lower-bracket matchups in major League of Legends events rarely see the underdog overturn a near-zero probability unless a critical roster issue or disqualification occurs. In past Esports World Cup and similar tier-one tournaments, teams entering from the lower bracket with such stark odds divergence have almost invariably lost, with only isolated cases of upset driven by external factors like server failures or player illness. The current 0% line aligns with this pattern, suggesting analysts and sportsbooks view Karmine Corp as a near-certain winner.

Traders should monitor live tournament schedules for any delay announcements, as the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. Key catalysts include official Esports World Cup communications on match timing and any pre-game roster confirmations. Recent updates from the tournament’s official channel confirm the match is still scheduled for today, with no reported disruptions [1]. Any deviation from the planned start time could shift implied probabilities, particularly if Team Secret gains a psychological edge from a delay affecting Karmine Corp’s preparation.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.