Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs Pcific Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs Pcific Esports (+9.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-12.5) vs Pcific Esports (+12.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-11.5) vs Pcific Esports (+11.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs Pcific Esports (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 0% |
Market context
FUT Esports face Pcific Esports in a best-of-three in VCT EMEA Group Alpha, with the contract pricing a **100% YES** outcome for FUT despite the match still carrying normal competitive uncertainty. That is much stronger than the wider market picture: Strafe users are backing FUT at **95.6%**, while EsportScanner’s model has FUT at **64%**, implying a far narrower edge than the prediction market currently reflects.[1][2]
For context, comparable pre-match Valorant lines usually leave room for upset risk even when one side is clearly favoured. BO3.GG’s match board shows FUT priced at **1.60** for a 2-0 scoreline and **3.50** for 2-1, with **6.00** on a Pcific 2-0, which still implies a live underdog chance and a lower certainty than a fully locked market outcome.[4] Bookmaker-Expert also described FUT as the likelier winner but not an especially comfortable one, noting that sportsbook markets were still pending at the time of its preview.[3]
The main catalysts for traders are operational rather than purely competitive: whether the fixture is played on schedule, whether the stage format changes, and whether any delay pushes settlement into the market’s seven-day fallback window. The listed start time is **15:00 UTC** on 22 July, but if the match is not completed and no winner is determined within seven days, the contract resolves **50-50** under the rules.[2]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT … on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →