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Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $383K Liquidity: $475K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.556%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-10.5) vs Sentinels (+10.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-9.5) vs Sentinels (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%

Market context

Team Envy and Sentinels are scheduled to compete in the upper bracket round two of the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In on 15 August 2026 at 20:00 ET, with the winner advancing further in the single-elimination tournament structure. The match is a best-of-three format, meaning the first team to secure two map victories will progress. Both organisations field rosters competing at the highest level of North American Valorant, where roster stability, recent scrim performance, and map pool alignment typically determine outcomes more reliably than raw historical head-to-head records.

The current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES reflects near-certainty that the match will be played as scheduled rather than cancelled or postponed. Historical precedent from VCT Americas events shows that matches in this stage rarely face cancellation absent extraordinary circumstances—most postponements occur only when organisers announce schedule adjustments weeks in advance. The settlement window extends to 16 August at 05:00 UTC, providing a 21-hour buffer after the scheduled start time to account for potential overruns or technical delays inherent to live esports broadcasting.

Traders monitoring this contract should track official VCT Americas announcements regarding roster changes or player availability in the days preceding the match, as last-minute substitutions occasionally occur. Recent team performance in scrims and any public statements about preparation from either organisation's coaching staff would signal confidence levels. The Play-In stage format means both teams have strong incentive to compete, reducing the likelihood of forfeiture or rescheduling requests that might otherwise emerge in lower-stakes tournaments.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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