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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Volume: $458K Liquidity: $624K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.590%
Match Winner71%
O/U 2.5 Games70%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.555%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Natus Vincere (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Natus Vincere (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.545%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)31%
Map 2 Winner30%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5)10%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: team heretics vs natus vincere (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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