Argentina vs. Algeria - Exact Score

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Market context

Argentina and Algeria meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 16 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact final score at 7% implied probability, reflecting the specificity required—any deviation from the listed outcomes triggers settlement to "Any Other Score." This contract settles on the 90-minute result only, excluding extra time and penalties, which narrows the outcome space considerably compared to knockout-stage matches.

Historical World Cup group matches between established sides and lower-ranked opponents show wide variance in scorelines. Argentina's recent form includes a 1–0 victory over Peru (March 2024) and a 2–0 win over Chile (June 2024), whilst Algeria reached the 2026 tournament after finishing second in African qualifying. Group-stage matches involving Argentina typically produce 1–0, 2–0, or 2–1 results when facing mid-tier opposition. The 7% probability assigned here aligns with typical sportsbook odds for any single exact scoreline in such fixtures, where the favourite scoreline (commonly 2–0 or 1–0) trades around 12–15% across major operators.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates closer to June 2026, particularly Argentina's availability of key attacking players. Fixture scheduling—whether Argentina plays first or second in their group—affects tactical approach and fatigue levels. Recent FIFA rankings and qualifying-round performance will provide concrete data on both teams' attacking and defensive efficiency in the weeks preceding the tournament.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.