ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan

Platform comparison

Market context

India and Afghanistan are scheduled to meet in a One Day International on 13 June 2026, with the prediction market currently pricing India's victory at 63 per cent implied probability. The match forms part of a bilateral ODI series between the two nations, with resolution determined by the final result published on ESPNcricinfo, including any outcomes decided by Super Over or other on-field tiebreak procedures.

Historical head-to-head records provide essential context for calibrating this probability. India holds a commanding record against Afghanistan in ODI cricket, with wins in the vast majority of encounters since Afghanistan's elevation to full international status. Afghanistan's sole ODI victory over India came in June 2019 at the Cricket World Cup in Southampton—a significant outlier in an otherwise one-sided series. The 63 per cent odds for India reflect both the structural quality gap between the teams and Afghanistan's demonstrated capacity to produce upset performances under specific conditions, though such outcomes remain statistically rare.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and player availability in the weeks preceding the match, particularly any injuries to India's core batting or bowling units. Afghanistan's recent form in bilateral ODI series and any changes to their playing XI will also influence match dynamics. The settlement window closes on 20 June 2026, allowing four days post-match for official confirmation of results. Comparison across major sportsbooks will reveal whether the 63 per cent prediction-market line diverges meaningfully from conventional bookmaker odds, which typically reflect similar India-favoured positioning but with varying margins.

Methodology

This page reviews ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.