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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Creeper 100% Skeleton 100% Spider 100% Wither Skeleton 100% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $59K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Creeper100%
Skeleton100%
Spider100%
Wither Skeleton100%
Zombified Piglin100%
Creeper (again)100%
Zombie50%
Wither Skeleton (again)50%
Creeper (again)50%
Skeleton (again)50%
Creeper (again)25%
Ghast5%
Piglin5%
Zombie (again)5%
Blaze4%
Polar Bear4%
Skeleton (again)2%
Enderman1%
Phantom1%
Iron Golem1%
Witch1%
Pillager1%
Hoglin1%
Wither Skeleton (again)1%
Zombified Piglin (again)1%
Warden1%
Elder Guardian1%
Vex1%
Spider (again)1%
Slime0%
Wither0%
Ender Dragon0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to which mobs will eliminate kai or speed?. Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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