Colombia vs. DR Congo - Total Corners

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Market context

The FIFA World Cup match between Colombia and DR Congo, scheduled for 23 June at 10:00 PM ET, has already concluded with Colombia securing a 1–0 victory through Daniel Muñoz’s goal. The game featured limited attacking intensity, with only a handful of corners recorded in the final minutes, including one won by DR Congo after a save from Camilo Vargas[4]. This outcome directly explains the current 0% implied probability for the “Total Corners” market, as the event has settled with a definitive result that leaves no room for further corner accumulation.

Historically, World Cup matches between teams with contrasting defensive styles often produce low corner counts, particularly when one side dominates possession without forcing repeated clearances. Comparable fixtures in recent tournaments, such as Portugal’s 5–0 win over Uzbekistan in Group K, also saw minimal corner activity despite high scoring, reinforcing that goal dominance does not necessarily correlate with corner volume[7]. The current probability aligns with this pattern, where Colombia’s controlled approach and DR Congo’s limited offensive pressure resulted in a match that rarely threatened the box, making the 0% line a factual reflection of the settled outcome rather than an analytical forecast.

Traders should note that no further catalysts exist, as the settlement window ended on 24 June at 02:00:00 UTC, and the match result is final. Recent live coverage from BBC Sport and MARCA confirms the final score and corner details, with no pending announcements or schedule dependencies that could alter the market[1][2]. The divergence between sportsbook lines, which focused on goal totals, and the prediction market’s corner-specific contract highlights a clear misalignment in betting focus, with the latter correctly capturing the low-corner reality of the concluded fixture[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.