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PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Comparison of odds and platforms for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Scottie Scheffler 24% Rory McIlroy 7% Xander Schauffele 6% Sam Burns 5% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $700K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler24%
Rory McIlroy7%
Xander Schauffele6%
Sam Burns5%
Keith Mitchell5%
Cameron Young5%
Ludvig Aberg4%
Matt Fitzpatrick4%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Chris Gotterup4%
Viktor Hovland4%
Si Woo Kim4%
Patrick Cantlay3%
Kurt Kitayama3%
Jake Knapp3%
Hideki Matsuyama3%
Maverick McNealy3%
Collin Morikawa3%
Justin Rose3%
Michael Brennan2%
Jacob Bridgeman2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Nicolas Echavarria2%
Rickie Fowler2%
Ryan Fox2%
Ryan Gerard2%
Russell Henley2%
Ryo Hisatsune2%
Nicolai Hojgaard2%
Tom Kim2%
Min Woo Lee2%
Alexander Noren2%
JT Poston2%
Aaron Rai2%
Kristoffer Reitan2%
Adam Scott2%
J.J. Spaun2%
Sahith Theegala2%
Justin Thomas2%
Michael Thorbjornsen2%
Gary Woodland2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eric Cole1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Ben Griffin1%
Robert MacIntyre1%
Alex Smalley1%
Sepp Straka1%
Matt McCarty0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 24% probability to pga tour: bmw championship winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on th…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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