🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Five-platform snapshot of "PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Michael Thorbjornsen 100% Ludvig Aberg 0% Akshay Bhatia 0% Jacob Bridgeman 0% Volume: $99K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
Open live market →
PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen100%
Ludvig Aberg0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Sam Burns0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Bud Cauley0%
Wyndham Clark0%
Eric Cole0%
Corey Conners0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Harris English0%
Steven Fisk0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Matt Fitzpatrick0%
Tommy Fleetwood0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Ryan Fox0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Russell Henley0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Max Homa0%
Viktor Hovland0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Michael Kim0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Tom Kim0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Jake Knapp0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Min Woo Lee0%
Shane Lowry0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Matt McCarty0%
Rory McIlroy0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Collin Morikawa0%
Alexander Noren0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Aaron Rai0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Justin Rose0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Scottie Scheffler0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Adam Scott0%
Alex Smalley0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Jordan Spieth0%
Sam Stevens0%
Sepp Straka0%
Nick Taylor0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Justin Thomas0%
Gary Woodland0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Cameron Young0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pga tour: fedex st. jude championship first round leader stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In t…

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Le… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports